Events: Global
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Local time on February 22, two ships from Iran's 1979 Islamic revolution, the first time through the Suez Canal, heading for Syria to leave Egypt, in the current Middle East situation confusing sensitive time, led to concern about global attention. Exclaimed the media, the emergence of Iran to the timing. This argument hold water? For this event How should we treat? Let us first analyze Israel, the United States, Egypt, the attitude of this matter.
Iranian warships for passage, Israel is undoubtedly the most intense reaction. Israel considers Iran to move was "hostile" behavior, repeatedly suggested the Egyptian government not to release. Earlier, Israeli naval blockade on Gaza has been criticism of the world many countries, if the Iranian warships to the Mediterranean, and Syria, Turkey and other friendly countries and Israel do not communicate with the joint, even if no specific action, but also sufficient for Israel feel uneasy.
Compared with Israel, the U.S. attitude seems somewhat disturbing accident. U.S. State Department spokesman say whether or not to allow Iran the right to decide the vessel through the canal in Iran and Egypt, the United States will be closely watched. A spokesman for the U.S. Department of Defense by the "not for his country ships to speculate on future action," refused comment. However, the U.S. really think that this "had nothing to do" it?
I recall one of its previous news: 18 February, the United States despite the UN Security Council members in favor of the other 14, rejected a demand that Israel stop on the occupied Palestinian territory _set_tlement activity in the construction of the draft resolution, which carry the strong international pressure. In the current sensitive situation in the Middle East, the United States both want to avoid direct interference in Egyptian internal affairs of the outside world the impression that Israel wants to pressure appropriate to restrain Israeli _set_tlement expansion and other aspects of extreme behavior. Meanwhile, Iran's high-profile behavior for the U.S. military presence in the district to provide a reason. Therefore, the U.S. is actually behind the seemingly mild reaction implies the attempt to re-layout of the Middle East.
Post-Mubarak era for Egypt, in the sensitive period of regime change, not only do not want to completely extend previous quilt hat political line, but also to the public and the international community do not want an easily swayed by external pressure impression. They need to consider how to maintain friendly relations with the United States and domestic rising anti-American sentiment to find a balance between, to show the difference with Mubarak era. Consideration of many factors, the release of Iran's warships is undoubtedly a good choice.
Through the above analysis, we can see that, for Iran, so warships through the Suez Canal by the behavior of the current mess is not only a large country show their strength, in fact, there are other more important considerations: First, through external strong action, to placate domestic public support, but also to avoid the situation in the country out of control; Second, by probing the actions of the Government of Egypt for their own understanding of the current attitude, and strive to build relationships with the new Egyptian government to seize the initiative process; and third, by machine to test the U.S. military action against Iran's bottom line.
Meanwhile, in order to avoid direct stimulation of the United States to reduce the release of pressure on Egypt, Iran, China announced it was a "anti-piracy training trip." This will not only avoid a US-Israeli pre-emptive excuse, but also by the military mobilization of this fact, with Syria and other allies to strengthen maritime links to the chaos which aims to expand its influence.
Its moment in the Middle East, is in an old pattern of shock and not forming a new pattern of shuffling process. Such a situation, for Iran to re-establish power in the Middle East is indeed a great opportunity status. However, we should also see that "there are ideas," not just Iran, the forces are wrestling through a variety of ways, even by the international financial crisis and the U.S. forces incompetent, but also plans to implement " Middle East version of the Marshall Plan "to seek to maximize future benefits. Although the first to come out on top in Iran in chaos, but it is still very complex international environment, the rise of the process will face serious challenges.
(The author is a contributing commentator this site) (source: People's Daily - Chinese and overseas Chinese Channel)
(Editor: Zheng Jiang) |
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